CONFERENCE ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC ISSUES 2023

CONFERENCE ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC ISSUES 2023

NOVEMBER 18, 2023
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY


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UC Berkeley’s Clausen Center for International Business and Policy will hold its 4th biennial Conference on Global Economic Issues: Deglobalization and Fragmentation, on Saturday, November 18, 2023.

The Clausen conference will host prominent economists, policymakers, and industry participants.  This year we welcome Pinelopi Goldberg, Elihu Professor of Economics and Professor of Management at Yale University, to give the keynote address.

We hope you can join us for what promises to be a lively and stimulating event.


PROGRAM

To Be Announced



Venue

All sessions will be held at:

Chou Hall
Spieker Forum (6th Floor)
Cheit Ln, Berkeley, CA 94720

 


Parking and Transportation

Parking
Parking Passes for participants can be reserved in advance. Contact econevents@berkeley.edu to request a permit.

Transportation

To Be Announced

For additional transportation options, please visit Bart.gov or 511.org


Accommodation

To Be Announced

 


Contact

For questions regarding logistics, please contact econevent@berkeley.edu

Panel on Economics and Geopolitics in U.S. International Relations: China, Europe, and the Global South

Panel on Economics and Geopolitics in U.S. International Relations: China, Europe, and the Global South

On Thursday, Feb. 16, starting at noon the Clausen Center and UC Berkeley Social Science Matrix will co-sponsor a panel discussion on ‘Economics and Geopolitics in U.S. International Relations: China, Europe, and the Global South”. The event will be held in the Spieker Forum, 6th Floor, Chou Hall, of the Haas School of Business.

REGISTER NOW

The pandemic and the war in Ukraine have reshaped global geopolitics, trade, and security. How will these changes affect the relationship between the US and China, Europe, and the Global South? How will they impact US firms operating globally, and how might foreign leaders — and notably the Chinese leadership — respond? In this panel discussion, a group of distinguished scholars will answer these questions and address the possible implications for the global multilateral order established in the second half of the 20th century.

Panelists

Mariano-Florentino (Tino) Cuéllar, President, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, former justice of the Supreme Court of California

James Fearon, Theodore and Frances Geballe Professor, Stanford School of Humanities and Sciences; Professor of Political Science, Senior Fellow, Freeman-Spogli Institute for International Studies

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Economic Counsellor and the Director of Research, International Monetary Fund; S.K. and Angela Chan Professor of Global Management, UC Berkeley Department of Economics and at the Haas School of Business

Laura Tyson, Class of 1939 Professor of Economics and Business Administration and Distinguished Professor Emerita of Economics, UC Berkeley

John Zysman (moderator), Professor Emeritus at UC Berkeley, co-founder/co-director of the Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy

Watch the Panel Discussion: The Economic Consequences of COVID-19

Watch the Panel Discussion: The Economic Consequences of COVID-19

Last spring, the COVID-19 pandemic led to an unprecedented shutdown of the global economy. Governments (mostly in advanced economies) responded with an array of programs, including increased unemployment benefits, stimulus payments, small business assistance loans, and broad monetary support. In spite of these unprecedented interventions, all financed by a rapid expansion of public debt, the economic outlook continues to be very uncertain 10 months into the pandemic.

What are the likely near- and long-term consequences of the pandemic for the global economy? Which populations have been most affected? Which industries are likely to recover, and which will not? How should we evaluate the success of economic measures taken by governments in the U.S. and around the world?

Co-sponsored by the Clausen Center for International Business and Policy — and presented as part of the Berkeley Haas “New Thinking in a Pandemic” series — this “Matrix on Point” brought together a panel of scholars to discuss the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic.

> Watch the video

Watch the Webinar New Thinking in a Pandemic

Watch the Webinar New Thinking in a Pandemic

You can watch the video of New Thinking in a Pandemic, a recent webinar co-sponsored by the Clausen Center, on YouTube at https://youtu.be/EcHBD-D5CRQ. In conversation with Clausen Center Director Professor Pierre-Oliver Gourinchas, the S.K. and Angela Chan Professor of Global Management, Political Science and Economics Professor Barry Eichengreen, who is also a Clausen Center faculty member, shared his recent research on how the coronavirus pandemic might significantly reduce trust in political institutions and science for decades to come, and leave long-lasting scars on the next generation.

About the series:
“New Thinking in a Pandemic: Business, Economics, and Inclusion” is a twice-monthly series hosted by Berkeley Haas faculty to highlight cutting-edge, high-level thinking and analysis on a range of topics around business, economics, and equity during the coronavirus pandemic and beyond.

CONFERENCE ON MACROECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF TRADE POLICIES AND TRADE SHOCKS 2020

CONFERENCE ON MACROECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF TRADE POLICIES AND TRADE SHOCKS 2020

FEBRUARY 13-14, 2020
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY


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UC Berkeley’s Clausen Center for International Business and Policy and the Peterson Institute for International Economics will hold the Conference on Macroeconomic Implications of Trade Policies and Trade Shocks at the University of California, Berkeley, on February 13-14, 2020.

This conference aims to update the analytical framework for analyzing trade policies and trade shocks to encompass modern developments in macro modeling and in trade theory. The goal is to encourage research incorporating the most recent advances in both the trade and macro literatures and allow economists to provide quantitative answers to questions about the short- and long-run impacts of trade policies and shocks on the trade balance, employment, real wages, income distribution, growth, and welfare.

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy through expert analysis and practical policy solutions. The Institute is committed to rigorous, intellectually open, and in depth study and discussion. It attempts to anticipate emerging issues and present ideas in useful, accessible formats, to inform and shape public debate. Its audience includes government officials and legislators, business and labor leaders, management and staff at international organizations, university-based scholars and their students, experts at other research institutions and nongovernmental organizations, the media, and the public at large.

Please visit our website for information about our senior fellows, their current research, and our outreach programs.

List of participants can be found here.


PROGRAM

Thursday, February 13

8:30am-9:00am Registration & Breakfast
9:00am-9:15am Welcome Remarks
Ann Harrison, Dean, Haas School of Business
University of California, Berkeley
9:15am-10:15am “The Impact of the 2018-19 Trade War on U.S. Prices and Welfare”
Stephen Redding (Princeton University)Click here for Slides
10:15am-10:45am Break
10:45am-11:45am Does Trade Policy Uncertainty Affect Global Economic Activity?
Presenter: Andrea Raffo (Federal Reserve Board)
Click here for Slides
Discussant: Jan Groen (Federal Reserve Bank, New York)
Click here for Slides 

Authors: Dario Caldara (Federal Reserve Board), Matteo Iacoviello (Federal Reserve Board), Patrick Molligo (Federal Reserve Board), Andrea Prestipino (Federal Reserve Board), Andrea Raffo (Federal Reserve Board)

 

11:45am-12:45pm The Impact of Brexit on UK Firms
Presenter: Scarlet Chen (Stanford University)
Click here for Slides
Discussant: Thomas Drechsel (University of Maryland)
Click here for SlidesAuthors: Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University), Philip Bunn (Bank of England), Scarlet Chen (Stanford University), Paul Mizen (University of Nottingham), Pawel Smietanka (Bank of England), Gregory Thwaites (London School of Economics)
12:45pm-2:00pm Lunch
2:00pm-3:00pm Trade Shocks and Credit Reallocation

Presenter: Fadi Hassan (Bank of Italy)
Click here for Slides
Discussant: Katheryn Russ (University of California, Davis)
Click here for Slides

Authors: Fadi Hassan (Bank of Italy), Veronica Rappoport (London School of Economics), Stefano Federico (Bank of Italy)

3:00pm-3:30pm Break
3:30pm-4:30pm Modeling Trade Tensions: Different Mechanisms in General Equilibrium

Presenter: Marika Santoro (International Monetary Fund)
Click here for Slides
Discussant: Sherman Robinson (Peterson Institute)
Click here for Slides

Authors: Benjamin Hunt (International Monetary Fund), Rafael Portillo (International Monetary Fund), Susanna Mursula (International Monetary Fund), Marika Santoro (International Monetary Fund)

4:30pm-5:30pm Practitioners Panel:

Speakers:
Torsten Slok (Deutsche Bank)
Click here for Slides
Warwick McKibbin (Australian National University)
Robert Koopman (World Trade Organization)
Beth Anne Wilson (Federal Reserve Board)
6:00pm Conference Dinner,  Great Hall, Bancroft Hotel
2680 Bancroft Way, Berkeley, CA 94704

Friday, February 14

9:00am-9:30am Breakfast
9:30am-10:30am Globalization, Trade Imbalances, and Labor Market Adjustment

Presenter: Sharon Traiberman (New York University)
Discussant: Oleg Itskhoki (Princeton University)

Authors: Rafael Dix-Carneiro (Duke University), João Paulo Pessoa (Sao Paulo School of Economics), Ricardo Reyes-Heroles (Federal Reserve Bank), Sharon Traiberman (New York University)

10:30am-11:00am Break
11:00am-12:00pm A Global View of Creative Destruction

Presenter: Ishan Nath (University of Chicago)
Discussant: Ariel Burstein (University of California, Los Angeles)

Authors: Chang-Tai Hsieh (University of Chicago), Peter J. Klenow (Stanford University), Ishan Nath (University of Chicago)

12:00pm-1:30pm Lunch
1:30pm-2:30pm “Tariffs and the Current Account Deficit”

Author: Guido Lorenzoni (Northwestern University)
Discussant: Ina Simonovska (University of California, Davis)
2:30pm-3:30pm Financial Constraints and Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks

Presenter: Banu Demir (Bilkent University)
Discussant: Federico Huneeus (Yale University)

Authors: Beata Javorcik (University of Oxford), Banu Demir (Bilkent University), Thomasz K. Michalski (HEC Paris), Evren Ors (HEC Paris)

3:30pm-4:00pm Break
4:00pm-5:00pm Conference Overview Panel:

Speakers:
Olivier Blanchard (Peterson Institute for International Economics)
Marcus Noland (Peterson Institute for International Economics)
Maurice Obstfeld (University of California, Berkeley)



Venue

All sessions will be held at:

Chou Hall
Spieker Forum (6th Floor)
Cheit Ln, Berkeley, CA 94720


Parking and Transportation

Parking
Parking Passes for participants can be reserved in advance. Contact econevents@berkeley.edu to request a permit.

Visitor Parking Map

Transportation

The  Hotel Shattuck Plaza is located 1/2 block from the metro BART train (downtown Berkeley station), which is usually the fastest and most convenient transport option from the Oakland and SFO airports.

For additional transportation options, please visit Bart.gov or 511.org


Accommodation

Hotel Shattuck Plaza, Berkeley, CA

Accommodation will be provided for out-of-town attendees. Please indicate if lodging is desired when completing your registration form and a reservation will be made on your behalf. We strongly recommend that attendees register as soon as possible.

Hotel confirmations will be sent out by January 31, 2020.

 

 

 


Contact

Marcus Noland, mnoland@piie.com
Executive Vice President and Director of Studies, Peterson Institute for International Economics

Maurice Obstfeld, obstfeld@berkeley.edumobstfeld@piie.com
Professor of Economics, University of California, Berkeley

Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, arc@berkeley.edu
Professor of Economics, University of California, Berkeley

For questions regarding logistics, please contact econevent@berkeley.edu

Recap: CONFERENCE ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC ISSUES 2019

Recap: CONFERENCE ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC ISSUES 2019

Thank you to everyone who attended and participated at the Clausen Center’s 2019 Conference on Global Economic Issues. We are grateful for your support and collaboration.

Opening Remarks

Opening remarks were delivered by Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas (Director, Clausen Center, University of California, Berkeley) and Kim Voss (Acting Dean, Division of Social Sciences, University of California, Berkeley).

 

Session 1 – Rising Challenges for Emerging Markets

 Session 1 was chaired by Carlos Carvalho (Former Deputy Governor, Economic Policy, Central Bank of Brazil) and featured the following panelists:

  • Alan Taylor, Professor, University of California, Davis
  • Veronica Rappoport, Vice President, Central Bank of Argentina
  • Calvin Ho, Senior Vice President and Director of Research, Templeton Global Macro

Click here for Session 1 Slides.

Session 2 – China 

Session 2 was chaired by Galina Hale (Research Advisor, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco) and featured the following panelists:

Click here for Session 2 Slides

Session 3 – Macro Implications of Structural Change in the Labor Market

Session 3 was chaired by Andres Rodriguez-Clare (University of California, Berkeley) and featured the following panelists:

  • Emi Nakamura, Professor, University of California, Berkeley
  • Mary Daly, President, Federal Reserve Bank, San Francisco
  • Jed Kolko, Chief Economist, Indeed

Click here for Session 3 Slides

For more details about Mary Daly’s presentation and remarks, see the recent Reuters article here.

Egon & Joan von Kaschnitz Lecture

Gita Gopinath delivering the Keynote Lecture. Photo Credit: Matt Wong.

The Keynote lecture, titled “A Case for an Intergrated Policy Framework,” was delivered by Gita Gopinath (Economic Counsellor and Director of Research, International Monetary Fund).

Click here for slides of the Keynote Lecture.

Photo Credit: Matthew L. Wong

Reception

After the Sessions and Keynote Lecture, participants enjoyed food and drinks over conversation during the Conference reception.